TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds. The outcomes depend solely on the final point tally from the contest as officially recorded.
All markets resolve based on whether the combined score of Washington State and San Diego State in their college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026, exceeds specified point thresholds ranging from 29.5 to 71.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold being wagered on.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. As a result, prediction markets sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially when there's significant public interest and informed trading. Differences can emerge due to varying levels of information and differing motivations between bettors and prediction market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total point outcomes for the Washington State vs. San Diego State game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the final total points. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs, resulting in a real-time assessment of the game’s likely outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the Washington State vs. San Diego State game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The platform will verify the result against official game statistics, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total points range will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Washington State or San Diego State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact the price. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence traders’ expectations and shift the market. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators may also play a role, driving increased volume and price fluctuations.