TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Washington State and San Diego State. It tracks the performance of each team specifically in the last 15 minutes of regulation time, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on who leads the scoring in that quarter, or if it ends in a tie.
If San Diego St. wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Washington St. vs San Diego St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Washington St. wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Washington St. vs San Diego St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Washington St. vs San Diego St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Generally, you’ll find that prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional point spreads or over/unders, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's potential results. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market, where information is quickly incorporated into the odds.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the 4th quarter of the Washington State vs. San Diego State game will determine the outcome. The final score and official results from the game will be used to verify the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Washington State or San Diego State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also impact trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news or public analysis predicting a shift in momentum could move this market as traders react to new information.