TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:18 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the final scoring margin of a college football game specifically within the fourth quarter, excluding any overtime periods. They track whether one team can overcome the other by a certain point differential during that decisive last quarter of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the fourth quarter of the Washington St. vs San Diego St. college football game scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, with overtime excluded from consideration. Each market has a different point spread threshold, ranging from 1.5 to 10.5 points, with separate thresholds for wins by either San Diego St. or Washington St. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result from that resumed game. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty and preventing unresolved outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals betting with their own capital. It's common to see initial discrepancies, as sportsbooks react quickly to news and public betting patterns. However, as the event approaches, the prices in this market and sportsbook odds tend to converge, as both attempt to accurately predict the outcome of the Washington State vs. San Diego State game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the 4th quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game draws nearer. The current trading volume suggests significant interest in this matchup, and the price fluctuations reflect the evolving sentiment of traders.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 4th quarter spread of the Washington State vs. San Diego State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports body. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the game closely as it progresses, as any late-game developments could significantly impact the final spread and the market’s outcome.
Several signals could move this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Washington State or San Diego State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any significant line movements in traditional sportsbooks could influence traders on Kalshi. Finally, public perception and media coverage leading up to the game can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market, as traders react to the latest information and analysis.