What is the result of Washington St. vs San Diego St.?

It's common to see differences between prediction market odds and those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists, traders might exploit the difference by buying low on Kalshi and selling high at the sportsbook, or vice versa. This arbitrage activity can cause the odds on Kalshi to move closer to those found elsewhere, but it’s not guaranteed.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit bids (the price they’re willing to buy) and asks (the price they’re willing to sell) for contracts that pay out $1 if the total points scored in the 2nd quarter fall within a certain range, and $0 otherwise. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price represents the market’s consensus probability of that outcome happening. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, reflecting new information and changing opinions about the game’s potential scoring.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the second quarter of the Washington St. vs San Diego St. game will be used to determine whether contracts pay out. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will serve as the basis for the resolution. Traders will be able to see the final result and contract payouts on Kalshi shortly after the game concludes.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Washington St. or San Diego St. would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, as the game approaches, updated power rankings or expert analyses could shift traders’ expectations. Finally, even early scoring drives during the first quarter of the game could lead to adjustments in the price of this market.