TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Washington State or San Diego State specifically in the second half of their college football matchup, including any overtime periods. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to win.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Washington St. vs San Diego St. college football game scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. For markets where San Diego St. must win by a specified margin, resolution occurs only if San Diego St. achieves that margin in the second half; similarly, for markets where Washington St. must win by a specified margin, resolution depends on Washington St. meeting or exceeding that margin in the second half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning neither party wins or loses but receives a refund or equivalent value. The markets are independent of the first half's performance and focus exclusively on second-half outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individual traders. Differences can emerge due to varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the teams’ strengths. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer, potentially offering unique insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Washington State vs. San Diego State spread. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event’s outcome. The most active contracts indicate where the most significant trading activity and disagreement currently lie.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the second half of the Washington State vs. San Diego State football game. The market will settle based on which team covers the spread as determined by the official game statistics. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the results are verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Nov 1, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team performance or significant shifts in public opinion could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi can quickly shift the odds, especially if they indicate informed betting activity. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.