TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead after the first quarter of play in an upcoming college football game between Washington State and San Diego State. It focuses solely on the scoring during the initial 15 minutes of the contest, ignoring the rest of the game.
If San Diego St. wins the 1st quarter of the Washington St. vs San Diego St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Washington St. wins the 1st quarter of the Washington St. vs San Diego St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st quarter of the Washington St. vs San Diego St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the collective beliefs of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each market. It’s common to see prediction market odds move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts regarding the Washington State vs. San Diego State game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top market is for San Diego State winning the first quarter, though probabilities are constantly evolving based on trading activity. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the first quarter of the Washington State vs. San Diego State game will determine the outcome. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the first-quarter winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Washington State or San Diego State team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups might also shift the odds. Finally, even general public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the game could influence traders' perceptions and drive price changes in this market.