TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various point differentials in the first quarter of a college football game between Washington State and San Diego State. It focuses on how much one team outscores the other within the first 15 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first quarter of the designated game. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain active and resolve per the actual first-quarter result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve at a fair price, considering all relevant factors at that time.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows a broader range of participants to weigh in, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, risk assessments, and the influence of public opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to breaking news or significant developments affecting the game.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final first quarter spread of the Washington State versus San Diego State football game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the relevant sports authority. Traders will be able to see the final result and any relevant supporting information on Kalshi after the game concludes and the outcome is officially verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Washington State or San Diego State would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the game’s style of play, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also move the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, causing prices to adjust accordingly.