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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Washington State and Oregon State. It provides a way to bet specifically on the performance of each team in the last 15 minutes of regulation play, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on the points scored during that specific timeframe.
If Oregon St. wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Washington St. vs Oregon St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Washington St. wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Washington St. vs Oregon St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Washington St. vs Oregon St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and their own analysis. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, but volume in this market is more evenly distributed, it suggests disagreement between the two. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on injuries, weather conditions, or even late-breaking news impacting the game. It’s a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, giving traders insight into the liquidity and potential price movement. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of the likely 4th quarter winner.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team is leading at the end of the 4th quarter of the Washington State vs Oregon State game. The final score will be verified against official game statistics and reporting to determine the winning team for the purposes of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either Washington State or Oregon State would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. In-game performance during the first three quarters – such as a dominant offensive showing or a surprising defensive strategy – will heavily influence trading activity. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to movement in this market as traders react to new information.