TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting whether a specific team will secure a decisive lead in the final quarter of a college football game. Outcomes depend entirely on scoring dynamics during that period, reflecting potential momentum shifts and strategic plays.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Washington St. vs Oregon St. college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team achieves a margin exceeding the specified point threshold—from 2.5 to 10.5 points—for that particular market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point-differential threshold listed.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths and weaknesses. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the game draws closer and more people participate. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 4th quarter spread of the Washington State vs Oregon State football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sports data providers. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the odds at the time of their trade. The market will close prior to the game's completion, allowing time for the result to be verified and payouts to be processed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Washington State or Oregon State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could shift market sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.