TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 8:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total points scored by both teams during the third quarter of a college football game. Bettors can speculate on whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends solely on in-game performance during a specific period.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the third quarter of the designated game. Only points officially recorded in that quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Each market has a specific threshold; resolution occurs when the combined third-quarter points exceed that threshold, with higher thresholds representing more ambitious scoring expectations.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of individuals incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the 3rd quarter total will be over or under a specific number. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a stronger belief in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the probability that the market participants assign to a particular outcome, and it’s constantly updated as new trades occur. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust expectations in real-time.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the Washington State vs Oregon State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and verified to ensure accuracy. The market will settle to 100 if the actual total is greater than the threshold, and 0 if it is less, with continuous values in between reflecting the actual total relative to the threshold. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Washington State or Oregon State would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any late-breaking news related to the game, could all contribute to price fluctuations. Public perception and betting trends in sportsbooks could also indirectly influence trading activity on Kalshi.