TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 8:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of a specific segment of a college football game between Washington State and Oregon State. It assesses whether one team will dominate the third quarter by a certain margin of points over the other.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between Washington State and Oregon State exclusively during the third quarter of their game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold, with varying margins required for either team to win the third quarter by. If Oregon State exceeds the specified point margin over Washington State during that quarter, the relevant 'Oregon St. wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes; conversely, if Washington State exceeds the threshold over Oregon State, the corresponding 'Washington St. wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored in the third quarter count toward these outcomes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original schedule, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds defined in individual markets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing these odds can give you a broader perspective on the perceived probability of different outcomes and potentially identify value in either market. Keep in mind that both aim to accurately predict the result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly react to news and events, offering a real-time view of expectations for the Washington State vs Oregon State game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final third-quarter spread of the Washington State vs Oregon State football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect spread will forfeit their investment. The final result will be clearly indicated on Kalshi once it is available.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Washington State or Oregon State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable playing conditions, could also move the market. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Public perception, reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.