TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between Washington State and Oregon State. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that must be exceeded by either team during that quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Washington St. vs Oregon St. college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. For any market where the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official second-quarter result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty of an unplayed quarter. The markets cover varying point differentials for both teams, allowing for a range of possible outcomes regarding second-quarter performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. Often, you’ll see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information, as they are continuously updated by a diverse group of traders. It’s common to observe discrepancies, especially before significant events or the release of new data that impacts perceptions of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the Washington State vs Oregon State spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the final result. The market depth and trading activity indicate the level of confidence and disagreement among traders regarding the spread.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the 2nd quarter of the Washington State vs Oregon State game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results have been verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Washington State or Oregon State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game’s playing conditions, could also affect trading activity. Furthermore, any shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or updated team statistics, could lead to changes in the market price. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also play a role.