TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:51 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track various point-spread outcomes for the first half of a college football game between Washington State and Oregon State. Each market corresponds to a different margin of victory threshold, allowing participants to speculate on the relative performance of the teams in the initial half of the contest.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Washington St. vs Oregon St. college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins by more than the designated point margin in that half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty introduced by the postponement. The markets are strictly confined to first-half performance, with no consideration given to the second half or final game outcome.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis from a diverse range of participants. This can lead to differences compared to sportsbook odds, which are typically set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially be more influenced by public perception or specific biases, while this market can adjust more rapidly as new information emerges and more traders participate. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news impacts the perceived probability of outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Washington State vs Oregon State spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are those who correctly anticipate market movements. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the fair probability of the spread being as indicated.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Washington State vs Oregon State football game. The resolution will reflect whether the actual point difference between the two teams at the end of the first half exceeds or falls short of the spread offered in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Washington State or Oregon State would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the game, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced by either team might also affect trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public betting patterns observed in sportsbooks could influence trading activity on Kalshi.