TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Oregon State will win its college football game against Washington State. Currently, Kalshi gives Oregon State a 99.0% probability of winning, while Washington State is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Washington St. vs Oregon St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, as reported by the certified game result. Keep an eye on the game’s completion on October 18, 2026, as that is the estimated resolution date for this market and will determine the winning team.
The market resolves to Yes if either Washington St. or Oregon St. wins the college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, reflects the collective wisdom of traders, theoretically providing a more accurate probability assessment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in market participants. Comparing this market to sportsbook lines can reveal where public sentiment diverges from professional analysis, potentially identifying advantageous betting opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market, constantly updating to incorporate the latest insights and expectations regarding the Washington State vs Oregon State game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Washington State vs Oregon State game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The exact payout amount will depend on the price of the contract at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 18, 2026. Key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even unexpected weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. News reports regarding team morale, practice performance, or any controversies surrounding the teams could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations, causing a ripple effect throughout the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the perceived probabilities.