TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming NWSL game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Washington Spirit and NJ/NY Gotham FC.
This event is for the upcoming NWSL game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Washington Spirit and NJ/NY Gotham FC.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on Polymarket and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and can react quickly to new information, potentially moving faster than traditional odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the perceived probability of each outcome. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive up its price, indicating a greater likelihood according to the crowd. Conversely, lower demand will decrease the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Washington Spirit and NJ/NY Gotham FC match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Washington Spirit versus NJ/NY Gotham FC match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which team won the match, or if the match ended in a draw. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves around Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Washington Spirit or NJ/NY Gotham FC would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant tactical adjustments announced by either team's coach, could move this market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will be reflected in the trading activity.