TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 9:08 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Washington Spirit and Chicago Stars FC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Spirit" if Washington Spirit are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Chicago Stars FC" if Chicago Stars FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Washington Spirit and Chicago Stars FC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Spirit" if Washington Spirit are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Chicago Stars FC" if Chicago Stars FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to note that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different fee structures and liquidity levels, which can influence the odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome – either the Washington Spirit scoring first or Chicago Stars FC. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team scores the first goal in the Washington Spirit vs. Chicago Stars match. The result will be determined by official game statistics and records, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the first scoring team will receive a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Washington Spirit or Chicago Stars FC could significantly shift the odds. Changes in team form, recent game results, or tactical adjustments announced by the coaches could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, weather conditions on game day, or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators, might cause fluctuations in the market price. Unexpected announcements related to the game’s venue or schedule could also be catalysts for movement.