TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Warriors vs. Nuggets - Exact Margin
polymarket

What is the result of Warriors vs. Nuggets?

Volume:
$5

Other

 - Polymarket

Other - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 12:48 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Other

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Margin: Warriors by 1-5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Margin: Warriors by 6-10

0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Margin: Warriors by 11-15

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Margin: Warriors by 16-20

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Exact Margin: Warriors by 21+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Margin: Nuggets by 1-5

0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Margin: Nuggets by 6-10

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Margin: Nuggets by 11-15

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Margin: Nuggets by 16-20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Exact Margin: Nuggets by 21+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

Exact margin markets for Warriors vs. Nuggets.

Polymarket

Exact margin markets for Warriors vs. Nuggets.

Frequently asked questions

Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that there is an arbitrage opportunity. It’s important to note that both represent probabilities, but are formed through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of expectations for the Warriors-Nuggets game.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different margin outcomes. The price of a share reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are influenced by factors like news about player injuries, team performance, and expert analysis. The market’s efficiency depends on the number of participants and the quality of information available to them, all contributing to the dynamic pricing of potential margins.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point margin of the Warriors-Nuggets game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the margin will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution. This timeframe allows for the official game results to be finalized and independently verified before payouts are processed.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Warriors or the Nuggets would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected performance in recent games, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in expert predictions or media coverage, could also drive trading activity. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the evolving probabilities within this market leading up to Oct 27, 2026.