TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Warriors vs. Mavericks
Volume:
$28,871,754
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 23 at 9:30PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) resolves YES for ANY outcome (Warriors win OR Mavericks win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets (items 3-81) use standard, mutually exclusive resolution logic where each outcome resolves to a single result.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market entirely — it is logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game outcome. All player prop, spread, and total markets on Polymarket are resolvable and follow standard NBA settlement rules. If you have exposure to Kalshi item 1-2, seek clarification or withdrawal before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) states 'If Golden State wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Dallas wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes trigger YES resolution, making the market unresolvable. No corresponding moneyline market exists on Polymarket to compare.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket provides 78 markets with standard, mutually exclusive resolution logic. Moneyline (item 3) resolves to 'Warriors' or 'Mavericks' based on final score. Spreads (items 4, 72, 82) resolve based on point differential thresholds. Totals (items 6-9, 20-21, 76-77, 80-81) resolve based on combined score thresholds. Player props (items 10-71) resolve based on individual box score statistics. All markets include consistent postponement and cancellation clauses (remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup). All use official NBA.com box score as resolution source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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