TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$203,036,808

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,857,846,526

408,774

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,373

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Warriors vs. Lakers
predict
polymarket

Who will win Warriors vs Lakers?

Volume:
$3,922,887

Spread -6.5

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 12:58 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$632,343
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Spread -6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$3
$12,572
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$189,933
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Spread -7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$3
$3,321
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -19.5

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$80,004
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Spread -19.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$3
$10,688
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 231.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$56,177
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 231.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$5,943
$5,360
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44,223
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Spread -5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$3
$737
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40,301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$3
$357
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 229.5

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38,359
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 229.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$6,339
$5,822
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32,320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Spread -8.5

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$3
$280
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 227.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,567
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 227.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$5,207
$11,505
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,116
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$3
$251
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Spread -10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$3
$2,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,448
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Spread -13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$3
$10,030
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 221.5

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,419
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 107

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the point spread for the NBA game between the Golden State Warriors and the Los Angeles Lakers. Currently, the consensus probability favors the Lakers to cover the -6.5 spread at 100.0%. This aggregated view combines data from Predict and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official NBA game results (https://www.nba.com/). Keep an eye on the game itself on October 21st, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize the official NBA game results as the primary source for resolution, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official NBA game results (https://www.nba.com/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the final score, including any overtime periods.
  • If a game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If a game is canceled with no make-up game, markets resolve 50-50.
  • Spread markets resolve based on the Lakers winning by the specified margin or the Warriors winning/tie.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie Game (Spread): In spread markets, a tie results in resolution to 'Warriors'.
  • Postponement: Markets remain open indefinitely until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation: Markets resolve 50-50 if the game is canceled with no make-up game.
Timing: Resolution will occur immediately following the completion of the game, as reported by the official NBA website.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 10:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Predict

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 10:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Warriors-Lakers matchup. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $3,922,887, with $3,849,097 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how traders are pricing the probability of different outcomes for this game. The dashboard provides a unified view of the market, combining insights from both venues to offer a comprehensive perspective on the expected result of the Warriors-Lakers matchup. This is a great way to gauge public opinion on the game.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals betting their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment diverges from expert analysis. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on team statistics, this market can quickly adjust to incorporate new information and changing perceptions about the Warriors-Lakers matchup.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific rules. Each platform attracts a different demographic of traders with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform can influence price discovery; higher volume generally leads to more efficient pricing. It’s also possible that differing liquidity or market-making activity on Polymarket versus Predict contributes to price discrepancies for the Warriors-Lakers matchup. These factors can all contribute to slightly different probabilities being reflected on each platform.