TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Warriors vs. Jazz
Volume:
$7,174,570
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Golden State Warriors and Utah Jazz scheduled for March 9, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline outcomes, point spreads at multiple thresholds, over/under totals at various levels, first-half props, and individual player performance metrics (points, rebounds, assists).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Over/Under combined-score thresholds differ between platforms. Kalshi uses strict greater-than comparisons (>X.5) while Polymarket uses inclusive thresholds (≥Y), offset by one point. A combined score in the 224–242 range may resolve differently depending on the specific market and platform.Hero Tip:
Cross-reference the exact combined final score (Warriors + Jazz total points, including overtime) against each platform's specific threshold. For Kalshi markets, confirm whether the score strictly exceeds the stated threshold. For Polymarket O/U markets, confirm the score meets or exceeds the stated point total. Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket O/U 226.5 are equivalent; they are offset by one point in their resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: 11 combined-score markets using strict greater-than logic (>212.5, >215.5, >218.5, >221.5, >224.5, >227.5, >230.5, >233.5, >236.5, >239.5, >242.5). All resolve YES if combined score exceeds the stated threshold. Example: >227.5 resolves YES only if combined score is 228 or higher.
- Polymarket: 6 combined-score O/U markets using inclusive thresholds: O/U 223.5 (≥224), O/U 224.5 (≥225), O/U 225.5 (≥226), O/U 226.5 (≥227), O/U 227.5 (≥228), O/U 228.5 (≥229). Example: O/U 226.5 resolves OVER if combined score is 227 or more.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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