TOTAL VOLUME:

$139.3b

24H VOL:

$178,872,365

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,540,891,627

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,640,545,998

469,304

Markets across

36,320

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,948

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Warriors vs. Celtics
kalshi
polymarket

Warriors vs. Celtics

Volume:
$14,191,143

Boston

 - Kalshi

Boston - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 19, 2026

Closed: Mar 18, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Boston

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,498,036
N/A
N/A
$2,602,453
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 216.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,824,197
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,464,029
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$673,846
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 215.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$260,807
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 214.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$209,615
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 217.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$56,272
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 105.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,176
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,666
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,596
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,452
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draymond Green: Points O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$796
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$791
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$658
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$594
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$487
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 15.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$474
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$472
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$266
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Warriors vs. Celtics

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,518,799
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Golden State

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,632,337
N/A
N/A
$1,717,835
Settled
No
polymarket

1H Moneyline

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,732
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$986
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 43

Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 18 at 7:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Warriors win OR Celtics win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes across its multiple markets.Hero tip: Avoid the Kalshi market entirely — it contains a fatal logical flaw where both teams winning triggers a YES resolution. This violates basic market design. Trade only on Polymarket's Warriors vs. Celtics moneyline and related markets, which have sound resolution logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: The market states 'If Golden State wins the Golden State at Boston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Boston wins the Golden State at Boston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins, leaving no NO outcome possible and making the market logically incoherent.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Polymarket's Warriors vs. Celtics moneyline market resolves to 'Warriors' if Golden State wins and 'Celtics' if Boston wins, creating mutually exclusive outcomes. The market also includes well-defined contingency rules: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.