TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.1b

24H VOL:

$198,735,462

24H TRANSACTIONS:

527,413,651

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,238,334,809

499,092

Markets across

13,695

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,769

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
Dashboards
kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Warriors vs. Celtics

Volume:
$14,191,143
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 18 at 7:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi's market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Warriors win OR Celtics win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes across its multiple markets.

Hero Tip:

Avoid the Kalshi market entirely — it contains a fatal logical flaw where both teams winning triggers a YES resolution. This violates basic market design. Trade only on Polymarket's Warriors vs. Celtics moneyline and related markets, which have sound resolution logic.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: The market states 'If Golden State wins the Golden State at Boston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Boston wins the Golden State at Boston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins, leaving no NO outcome possible and making the market logically incoherent.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Polymarket's Warriors vs. Celtics moneyline market resolves to 'Warriors' if Golden State wins and 'Celtics' if Boston wins, creating mutually exclusive outcomes. The market also includes well-defined contingency rules: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.