TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming soccer match between Wales and Denmark. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, determining whether the game will be high-scoring or more defensive in nature. The outcome depends solely on the combined goals scored by both teams within regular time.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the Wales vs Denmark UEFA Nations League match scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each market has a specific threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals exceed the respective threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may also adjust their odds more slowly in response to new information than this market, where prices can change rapidly with each trade. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when there's considerable uncertainty surrounding the likely outcome of the Wales vs Denmark match. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Wales vs Denmark match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if the corresponding total goals are scored.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Wales vs Denmark match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football association, ensuring an objective and reliable determination of the winning contract. Traders will be able to view the resolved outcome on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game, and payouts will be processed accordingly. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Wales vs Denmark match takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather forecasts predicting challenging playing conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to referee appointments or potential controversies could also contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.