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419,492

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Wales vs Denmark: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Wales vs Denmark?

Volume:
$27,290

Denmark wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Denmark wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:38 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Denmark wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,816
N/A
N/A
$6,317
Settled
No
kalshi

Wales wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,782
N/A
N/A
$5,612
Settled
No
kalshi

Denmark wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,924
N/A
N/A
$3,475
Settled
No
kalshi

Wales wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,767
N/A
N/A
$1,762
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Wales and Denmark, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Wales or Denmark wins the match. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Wales winning by more than 2.5 goals, Wales winning by more than 1.5 goals, Denmark winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Denmark winning by more than 2.5 goals. If the actual goal difference meets or exceeds any of these thresholds in favor of the respective team, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The resolution occurs after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. All outcomes are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and only the markets aligned with the actual result will settle to Yes. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Wales vs Denmark match tracks the current price of contracts representing outcomes in this market. You’ll find a price history chart illustrating how the price has fluctuated over time, alongside the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $23,477. The total volume traded on Kalshi for this market is $27,290. This information allows you to gauge market sentiment and see how traders are positioning themselves ahead of the event.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market’s price is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take positions in this market, causing the price to move in a direction that reflects their collective assessment. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate than traditional odds, especially as the event approaches.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting an outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities as seen by the market participants, offering a different perspective than static odds.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wales vs Denmark match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The final price of contracts at resolution will reflect the actual outcome of the match.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either team could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue might also play a role. Furthermore, general news coverage and public perception surrounding the teams' form and performance could impact trading activity. Major upsets in other related matches or tournaments could also indirectly affect how traders assess the probabilities in this market.