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Wales vs. Denmark - First Team to Score
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Wales vs Denmark?

Volume:
$184

Denmark

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 6:41 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Denmark

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

DEN

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$30
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Neither

View
6%
Yes 6¢No 94¢
—
$2,864
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wales

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

WAL

View
N/A
N/A
—
$6,952
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Wales and Denmark. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution criteria, focusing on the first goal scored within the standard 90-minute match duration plus stoppage time, with a 'Neither' outcome if no goal is scored.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore and then Sofascore.

Core resolution logic:

  • The first team to score during the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time determines the outcome.
  • If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are explicitly excluded from consideration.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 (or to 'Draw' where applicable).
Timing: Resolution will occur after the completion of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with a maximum delay of 24 hours due to data verification.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Wales and Denmark, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wales" if Wales are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Denmark" if Denmark are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between Wales and Denmark, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wales" if Wales are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Denmark" if Denmark are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of either Wales or Denmark scoring the first goal in their upcoming match. Currently, Polymarket shows a strong consensus with a chance of 98% that neither team will score first, while trading volume remains at $184. This represents the collective predictions of users on both platforms regarding this specific aspect of the game. The dashboard aggregates this data, offering a consolidated view of the market's sentiment surrounding the Wales vs. Denmark first goal market. We are tracking the aggregated predictions across these venues to provide a comprehensive outlook.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade and express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, prediction markets can become more accurate as more information becomes available and more traders participate, influencing the price of this market.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can influence price discovery. For example, Polymarket currently favors neither team to score first at 98%, while Predict leans toward Wales at an unspecified percentage. Differences in liquidity and the types of traders active on each platform also play a role. Furthermore, differing risk appetites and interpretations of available information among users on Polymarket and Predict contribute to these price discrepancies in the Wales vs. Denmark first goal market.