TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:45 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Wales and Denmark, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Wales vs. Denmark match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Wales and Denmark, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Wales vs. Denmark match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the views of many independent traders. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, particularly if they diverge significantly from the prediction market. It’s always wise to compare both to make informed decisions, but the collective intelligence often displayed in this market is a strong indicator.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Wales vs. Denmark match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified score. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable information.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Wales or Denmark would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather forecasts for the match day could also impact trading activity. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market. As the match approaches, any public statements from players or coaches that suggest a change in strategy or confidence levels could also be a catalyst.