TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:41 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Wales and Denmark, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Wales vs. Denmark match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Wales and Denmark, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Wales vs. Denmark match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, which can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and a desire to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially in situations where there’s strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into where the crowd believes the true probability lies for the Wales vs. Denmark match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure pushes prices up, indicating higher confidence in that score, while increased selling pressure lowers prices. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Wales vs. Denmark match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football association. The market will determine which exact score was the correct result of the game. Traders who correctly predicted the exact score will receive a payout based on the final market price of their chosen outcome. It’s important to note that any potential delays in official reporting may affect the resolution timeline.
Several factors could influence the Wales vs. Denmark score market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected announcements about player availability or tactical changes are particularly likely to cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage can also play a role, especially if there’s a strong narrative developing around either team. Monitoring these signals closely will be crucial for anyone looking to make informed trading decisions in this market.