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Wales vs. Denmark
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Wales vs. Denmark?

Volume:
$1,285,909

Denmark

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Denmark

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$483,175
N/A
N/A
$239,370
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Denmark

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$214,279
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

DEN

View
99%
50%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$27,971
$64,915
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

WAL

View
1%
25%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$161
$35,037
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Wales

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$204,290
N/A
N/A
$130,323
Settled
No
polymarket

Wales

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71,974
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
25%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$730
$12,646
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$176,992
N/A
N/A
$106,331
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Wales vs. Denmark)

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,601
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Wales and Denmark, scheduled for October 4, 2026, asking which team will win within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, or if the match will end in a draw. Currently, the consensus probability of Denmark winning is 100.0%. This aggregation combines data from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA). Keep an eye on the match itself on October 4, 2026, to see if Denmark secures the win as currently predicted.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the result of the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, using the same hierarchy of resolution sources.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA)

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the official final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • If official data is unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • Postponed games remain open until completion.
  • Canceled games resolve to 'No' for win markets and 'Yes' for draw markets.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Data Available: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the markets will resolve 50-50, or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if fallback sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026 between Wales and Denmark.

Kalshi

Markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Wales vs Denmark UEFA Nations League match scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes'. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price according to platform rules.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026 between Wales and Denmark.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Wales vs. Denmark match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong likelihood of one result, though opinions differ. Total volume for this market is $1,285,909, with $1,158,510 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how predictions are evolving and compare the collective wisdom of the crowd to traditional betting odds. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues to provide a comprehensive overview of expectations for the match.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while prediction markets are driven by actual money on the line. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. Examining both sets of odds provides a more well-rounded view of the potential outcome of the Wales vs. Denmark match.