TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the outcome of a women's FIFA World Cup Qualifiers soccer match between Wales and Albania. It specifically tracks who wins the match within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The result depends solely on the performance of the teams during regulation time.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Wales vs Albania professional FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women soccer game scheduled for October 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Wales wins in regulation time, the 'Wales' market resolves to Yes. If Albania wins in regulation time, the 'Albania' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets exclusively consider regulation time results and do not account for outcomes determined in extra time or penalty shootouts.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available to the public. This can sometimes lead to differences compared to traditional sportsbook odds, which may be more influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. While sportsbooks set lines based on their modeling, this market represents a continuously updated assessment of probability based on real-money trading. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbook odds in accuracy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each outcome – Wales winning, Albania winning, or a draw – and the prices of these contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of a contract indicates the market’s implied probability of that outcome, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the result of the Wales vs Albania match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, once the result of the Wales vs Albania match is officially confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public reporting of the regulation time moneyline result. This means the market will determine which team won the match within the standard 90 minutes of play, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The final price of each outcome contract will reflect whether that outcome occurred, allowing traders to realize any profits or losses based on their positions.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions impacting playing style could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or tactical changes could also cause significant price fluctuations. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage leading up to the match can influence trading behavior, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions about the Wales vs Albania match.