TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 6:07 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the UEFA Women's World Cup Qualification game, scheduled for October 13 at 2:15 PM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Women's World Cup Qualification game, scheduled for October 13 at 2:15 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their beliefs and influence the price. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of public information, biases in expert opinions, or simply the collective insight of prediction market participants. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to odds that diverge from, or converge with, sportsbook offerings.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, creating a dynamic representation of collective expectations. The market’s price is determined solely by trader activity on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or predetermined algorithms beyond the basic supply/demand interaction.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wales vs. Albania match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares representing the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Wales or Albania would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, major upsets in other qualifying matches or significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or media coverage, could all contribute to movement in this market. Any information perceived as altering the probability of either team winning will be quickly reflected in the trading activity.