TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Wake Forest will win against NC State by more than 1.5 points in their upcoming college football game. Currently, the probability of Wake Forest winning by over 1.5 points is 50.0% on Kalshi, while the probability of NC State winning by over 1.5 points is 49.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Wake Forest vs NC St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, as reported by the game’s final score. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the outcome on October 10, 2026 will determine the resolution of this market.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Wake Forest vs NC State college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For markets where Wake Forest wins, resolution occurs if their victory margin exceeds the specified point threshold (e.g., over 20.5 points). For markets where NC State wins, resolution occurs if their victory margin exceeds the specified point threshold (e.g., over 1.5 points). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs, leading to potentially more accurate predictions, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team performance, injuries, or other factors influencing the game’s outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Wake Forest vs NC State game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating market movements. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards a fair assessment of the game’s likely outcome based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Wake Forest vs NC State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sports data providers and widely recognized sports news outlets. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual point spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout as determined by the market’s pricing at the time of their trade.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Wake Forest or NC State would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected team performance in preceding games could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, weather forecasts leading up to the game, particularly if severe weather is anticipated, can influence trading activity. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, may also contribute to movements in the price of contracts for this market.