TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Wake Forest and NC State. It covers all types of touchdowns, including those from offense, defense, or special teams, and includes scenarios where the game might go into overtime. If neither team scores a touchdown at all, a separate outcome is provided.
The market determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Wake Forest vs NC State college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026, with three possible outcomes: NC State, Wake Forest, or neither team scoring a touchdown. All touchdowns—including offensive, defensive, and special teams plays—are counted, and scores occurring in overtime still count toward the market resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. The market is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe one team is more likely to score first, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment changes leading up to the game. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which team will score first. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the Wake Forest vs NC State football game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an objective and accurate outcome. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to finalize the market and distribute payouts to contract holders.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries on either Wake Forest or NC State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor a specific team’s offensive style, could also shift the odds. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated team statistics could also impact trader sentiment. Finally, even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could indirectly influence trading activity on Kalshi, as traders react to broader market perceptions.