TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:24 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory for either Wake Forest or NC State specifically within the final quarter of their scheduled game. Outcomes depend entirely on points scored during that timeframe, ignoring earlier periods or overtime.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Wake Forest vs NC State college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team wins by more than the designated point margin during that quarter. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. No overtime points factor into any resolution, and only 4th-quarter performance determines outcomes regardless of earlier game dynamics.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. However, differences can emerge due to varying levels of information and differing incentives between bettors and market participants. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to discrepancies with sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual fourth-quarter spread will fall on that side of the line. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their forecasts are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic creates a market-driven assessment of the likely outcome, constantly updating as new information becomes available and participants adjust their positions.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final fourth-quarter spread of the Wake Forest versus NC State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread fell on the winning side of the contract purchased by traders. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it nears resolution to understand how the market is interpreting the latest developments.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Wake Forest or NC State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team strategy or unexpected weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, as the game draws closer, any public analysis or expert predictions that deviate from the current market consensus could lead to shifts in pricing. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the fourth-quarter spread is crucial for informed trading.