TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 1:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Wake Forest or NC State during the first half of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team to resolve as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of play in the Wake Forest vs NC State college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For any market where the specified team wins by more than the stated point differential during the first half, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official first-half result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, reflecting equitable settlement based on available information and circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly. This can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions, as the market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives than a single sportsbook might.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as they profit if their predictions are correct. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information emerges and traders update their beliefs, creating a real-time assessment of the potential spread in this game.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Wake Forest vs NC State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body for college football. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final outcome.
Several signals could move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Wake Forest or NC State would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game day, or even significant shifts in public perception based on media coverage could also influence trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other college football games involving similar teams might also cause traders to reassess their predictions, leading to fluctuations in the price of contracts on Kalshi.