TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

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4,340

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5

Polymarket:

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Wake Forest vs California: First Team to Score a TD
kalshi

Wake Forest vs California: First Team to Score a TD

Volume:
$1,936

Wake Forest

 - Kalshi

Wake Forest - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 11:00 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Wake Forest

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,453
N/A
N/A
$1,407
Settled
Yes
kalshi

California

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$260
N/A
N/A
$259
Settled
No
kalshi

No team

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$223
N/A
N/A
$223
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no team manages to score a touchdown at all during the game, including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The market determines the outcome based on which team scores the first touchdown in the Wake Forest vs California college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. All types of touchdowns—including offensive, defensive, and special teams—are considered, and a touchdown scored in overtime still counts toward the resolution. If neither team scores a touchdown during the entire game, including overtime, a specific market indicating no team scores a touchdown will resolve as the winner. Postponements are handled such that if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, trading continues and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within this window, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Wake Forest vs California game tracks the current price of the market, reflecting the probability of each team scoring the first touchdown. You can also view the price history to see how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $1,198. Total volume for this market is $1,936. This provides a clear picture of trader sentiment and activity surrounding the first scoring play in this college football matchup.

Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to predict the most likely outcome. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. This difference can arise from varying levels of expertise and information available to each group.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, analysis, and their own insights, leading to a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of either team scoring first. This creates a market-driven probability assessment.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the Wake Forest vs California game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an accurate and unbiased determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in the market’s settlement.

Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Wake Forest or California would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s offensive style, could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also contribute to price movements in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.