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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:07 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Wake Forest and California. It tracks the performance of each team specifically in the last 15 minutes of regulation time, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on who leads the scoring in that decisive segment of the match.
If California wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Wake Forest vs California college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wake Forest wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Wake Forest vs California college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Wake Forest vs California college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. As new information emerges – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – prediction market prices can adjust more rapidly than sportsbook odds, potentially offering a more accurate forecast of the game's outcome. However, sportsbook odds still represent a significant benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a collective assessment of the likelihood of each scenario. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels—indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders regarding the potential winner of the 4th quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team is leading at the conclusion of the 4th quarter of the Wake Forest vs California game. The final score will be determined by official game statistics, and the winning team will be the one with the highest score at that time. This market provides an opportunity to forecast the 4th quarter winner before the game concludes.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Wake Forest or California would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the odds. In-game performance during earlier quarters, such as a dominant offensive showing or a surprising defensive strategy, could influence trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public announcements or expert analysis related to the game could also contribute to movements in this market.