TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:27 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific quarter of a college football game between Wake Forest and California. It provides a way to bet on short-term performance rather than the overall game outcome. The resolution depends solely on the scoring during the designated quarter.
If California wins the 2nd quarter of the Wake Forest vs California college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wake Forest wins the 2nd quarter of the Wake Forest vs California college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the Wake Forest vs California college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market allows a broader range of participants to weigh in. Over time, as more information becomes available and more people trade, the odds in this market tend to become highly accurate reflections of the true probabilities. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks in their predictive power, especially closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome, as indicated by the highest price, is California winning the 2nd quarter, though market sentiment can shift rapidly based on new information and trading activity. The price movements are driven entirely by supply and demand among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 2nd quarter of the Wake Forest vs California game will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any relevant supporting information on Kalshi following the game's completion.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in the first quarter of the game would likely cause significant shifts in the market, as traders adjust their expectations. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could also trigger price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the teams involved is crucial for understanding potential market movements before Oct 18, 2026.