TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:27 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of a specific segment of a college football game between Wake Forest and California. It evaluates whether either team will achieve a significant point differential during the second quarter of play, reflecting potential momentum shifts or dominant performances in that timeframe.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between Wake Forest and California exclusively during the second quarter of their game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold, with varying margins of victory required for either team to trigger a 'Yes' outcome. Only points scored in the second quarter count toward these resolutions. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a relatively small team of experts, while this market incorporates insights from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying risk assessments, differing levels of information, or simply the influence of public sentiment. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the second quarter of the Wake Forest vs California game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data provider. All contracts will settle to 100 if the actual spread matches the contract's prediction, and to 0 otherwise. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Wake Forest or California teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts could also impact expectations, particularly if they affect the style of play. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and drive price changes. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential market movements.