TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of a college football game. Participants predict whether the combined score will exceed specific thresholds, offering various levels of difficulty for forecasting early-game offensive performance.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of the Wake Forest vs California college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market has a different threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points), and resolves to 'Yes' if the actual combined score exceeds that threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward resolution, and Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public opinion shifts. Comparing the implied probability from Kalshi to sportsbook lines can reveal where the market anticipates value or disagreement with conventional wisdom regarding the Wake Forest vs California game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter of the Wake Forest vs California football game will be used to determine whether the total points scored were over or under 10.5. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts aligned with the actual outcome of the first quarter.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Wake Forest or California would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Unexpected announcements related to coaching strategies or team dynamics might also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations, as can any major shifts in public perception of the teams’ relative strengths.