This event group covers the men's college basketball game between Wake Forest Demon Deacons and Virginia Cavaliers scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET at Virginia. Markets track the moneyline winner, the spread outcome (Virginia -14.5), and the combined point total (Over/Under 148.5).
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket use identical game identification, timing, and cancellation protocols; all three market types (moneyline, spread, total) apply the same postponement and cancellation rules.
Primary resolution logic:
NCAA official final score and game records
Core resolution logic:
Moneyline: Market resolves to the team with the higher final score (Wake Forest or Virginia)
Spread (Virginia -14.5): Market resolves to Virginia if they win by 15+ points; otherwise resolves to Wake Forest
Total (O/U 148.5): Market resolves to Over if combined score is 149+; Under if combined score is 148 or less
All outcomes determined by final score including overtime periods
Postponement: Markets remain open until game is completed
Cancellation with no make-up: All markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Overtime: Final score includes all overtime periods; no special treatment
Game Postponement: Markets stay open and unresolved until the rescheduled game is completed
Game Cancellation: If canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50
Spread Boundary: Virginia must win by exactly 15 or more points to resolve Yes on spread; 14-point win resolves to Wake Forest
Total Boundary: Combined score of exactly 149 resolves to Over; 148 or less resolves to Under
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the final official score is recorded by NCAA on March 3, 2026 (or rescheduled date if postponed)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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