TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. California Golden Bears (W)
Volume:
$170,724
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Wake Forest Demon Deacons and California Golden Bears scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the binary outcome of this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both Wake Forest win and California win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent binary logic with clear edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market cannot settle because both possible game outcomes map to the same resolution value (Yes). Request immediate clarification from Kalshi before trading. Polymarket's market is resolvable and should be treated as the reliable reference.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary winner-take-all logic: Wake Forest win = 'Wake Forest Demon Deacons', California win = 'California Golden Bears'. Postponement extends market; cancellation without makeup = 50-50 split. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Contradictory Yes/Yes mapping: states both 'If Wake Forest wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If California wins...resolves to Yes'. No resolution path for California win or tie/cancellation scenarios. Logically incoherent.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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