TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in an upcoming college football game. Participants can speculate on whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of risk and potential return based on expected game scoring.
All markets resolve based on the official total points scored by both teams in the Wagner vs Duquesne college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds the stated threshold (e.g., 26.5, 30.5, up to 66.5 points), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the final score. It's common to see initial discrepancies between the two, as sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin, and prediction markets may react quickly to new information or changing sentiment. However, as the event approaches, the odds from both sources tend to converge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the Wagner vs Duquesne game will be over or under a specific number. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves based on supply and demand; if more people believe the total will be over, the price of 'Yes' contracts will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the Wagner vs Duquesne game will be used to determine whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome prevails. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified outcome of the game. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Wagner or Duquesne teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they impact the style of play, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also affect trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could spill over into this market, influencing the price as traders react to broader market trends. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market.