TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a different point threshold, allowing participants to speculate on whether the combined score will exceed various levels. The outcomes depend solely on the final official score of the game.
All markets resolve based on whether the total points scored by both teams in the Wagner vs Central Connecticut State college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 27.5 to 67.5 points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final score. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the threshold specified. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, maintaining consistency in resolution methodology.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate predictions as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and developments that might not be immediately reflected in sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the price through their bids and asks. Contracts are priced between 0 and 100, representing the probability of the total points being over the implied number. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, and changes based on supply and demand for contracts predicting different outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final points total from the Wagner vs Central Connecticut St. game will be used to determine whether the contracts predicting 'over' or 'under' the implied total points will pay out. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for resolution. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the game's conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Wagner or Central Connecticut St. teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also influence traders' predictions. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the likely total points scored has the potential to shift the price of this market.