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410,482

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Wagner Seahawks vs. Lafayette Leopards (W)
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Wagner Seahawks vs Lafayette Leopards?

Total volume:
$26
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$30
0%
Open interest:
$26
0%

Lafayette

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 03d:05h:48m

Lafayette wins

25%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 87¢ buys you 115 shares | Odds: 25% Total Payout: $115 | Net Profit: $15 Multiplier: 1.15x | ROI: 15% APY not meaningful 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lafayette

Trade
25%
Yes 87¢No 89¢
76¢
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$26
3d 5h 48m
Active
polymarket

Wagner Seahawks vs. Lafayette Leopards (W)

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 2h 48m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
25%
Yes 87¢No 89¢
Avg: 87¢Max: 98¢
kalshi

Wagner

Trade
N/A
N/A
80¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 5h 48m
Active
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between the Wagner Seahawks and the Lafayette Leopards, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. The markets ask who will win the game, but have different resolution logic.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Both platforms ask who will win, but Kalshi's wording is redundant, stating either team winning resolves to 'Yes'.Hero tip: While both markets functionally ask the same question, Polymarket's reliance on the NCAA as a source provides a more definitive resolution path. Consider favoring Polymarket for clarity.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on a win by either team, referencing the NCAA as the source. "If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment..."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Lafayette OR Wagner wins. "If Lafayette wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Wagner wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming CWBB game between Wagner Seahawks and Lafayette Leopards, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the Wagner vs Lafayette women's college basketball game scheduled for November 5, 2026. If Lafayette wins, the Lafayette market resolves to Yes; if Wagner wins, the Wagner market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Wagner vs. Lafayette game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $26, with $26 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see how others are predicting the result, and to participate in forecasting the winner. The dashboard provides a combined view of probabilities from each platform, offering a comprehensive perspective on the potential result of this matchup. This market aggregates predictions from multiple sources to provide a more robust forecast.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis. While sportsbooks focus on maximizing profit, this market aims to accurately forecast the outcome, and can sometimes offer more competitive odds or identify mispricings compared to traditional betting venues.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in trader participation, market design, and the information available to each user base. Polymarket currently favors Wagner wins at 50.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Lafayette wins at 25.0%. These differences can also stem from varying liquidity levels on each platform, as lower volume can lead to greater price volatility. Furthermore, each platform attracts a slightly different demographic of traders with potentially differing expertise or biases, contributing to the observed price discrepancies in this market.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Wagner vs. Lafayette game will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will be settled based on the official result declared by the relevant governing body, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders should monitor official sources for the game's outcome to understand how this market will be resolved.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Wagner or Lafayette teams would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact playing conditions, could also influence predictions. Additionally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams' chances of winning could drive trading activity and alter the market price. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.