TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:13 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Waalwijk and Volendam, focusing on determining whether Waalwijk wins, Volendam wins, or the game ends in a tie within regular time. The markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is canceled or significantly rescheduled, prices will adjust fairly.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Waalwijk vs Volendam professional Eerste Divisie soccer match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026: Waalwijk win, Volendam win, or a tie—all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its designated outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's rules. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result within regular time plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management, while this market relies on individuals making their own assessments. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide valuable insight into how the crowd perceives the likelihood of various outcomes in the Waalwijk vs Volendam match, compared to traditional betting establishments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Waalwijk vs Volendam match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they’ll bid up the price of its corresponding contract, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time probability assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Waalwijk vs Volendam match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing soccer league or organization. The market will determine which outcome – a Waalwijk win, a Volendam win, or a draw – occurred according to these official sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Oct 18, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Waalwijk or Volendam would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift trader sentiment. News regarding weather conditions on match day, or even tactical announcements from the managers, might influence the perceived probabilities. Any significant information that alters the expected outcome of the Waalwijk vs Volendam match has the potential to move the market.