TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 4:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Waalwijk and Almere, focusing on determining whether either team wins after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or if the game ends in a tie. The resolution depends strictly on the final score at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is significantly altered due to cancellation or rescheduling, a fair resolution will be applied based on prevailing conditions.
The event resolves based on the result of the Waalwijk vs Almere professional Eerste Divisie soccer match scheduled for October 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Waalwijk win, Almere win, or a tie. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price. The resolution exclusively considers the result after regular time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's significant public information or a belief that sportsbooks have mispriced a particular outcome. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and adjust probabilities accordingly, creating opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Waalwijk vs Almere match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic process ensures that the prices on Kalshi are constantly updated to reflect the latest information and collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Waalwijk vs Almere match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who held contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those who bet on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their stake. The platform ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 30, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or weather conditions could significantly impact expectations. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or managerial decisions could also shift the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public sentiment can create momentum and drive price changes. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential opportunities in this market.