TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 4:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michaela Bayerlova and Theadora Rabman in the W75 Toronto, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michaela Bayerlova' if Michaela Bayerlova advances against Theadora Rabman. This market will resolve to 'Theadora Rabman' if Theadora Rabman advances against Michaela Bayerlova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michaela Bayerlova and Theadora Rabman in the W75 Toronto, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michaela Bayerlova' if Michaela Bayerlova advances against Theadora Rabman. This market will resolve to 'Theadora Rabman' if Theadora Rabman advances against Michaela Bayerlova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market incorporates insights from many participants. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Analyzing these differences can be valuable, as prediction markets have demonstrated a capacity to be more accurate than traditional forecasts in certain situations. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. This means the odds will shift based on new information and changing opinions.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W75 Toronto tennis match between Michaela Bayerlova and Theadora Rabman, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or even changes in weather forecasts affecting the court surface, could also cause movement. Major upsets in other related tournaments or surprising announcements about coaching changes might also play a role. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning could lead to changes in the market’s price.