TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kisa Yoshioka and Samantha Alicea in the W75 Toronto, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kisa Yoshioka' if Kisa Yoshioka advances against Samantha Alicea. This market will resolve to 'Samantha Alicea' if Samantha Alicea advances against Kisa Yoshioka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kisa Yoshioka and Samantha Alicea in the W75 Toronto, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kisa Yoshioka' if Kisa Yoshioka advances against Samantha Alicea. This market will resolve to 'Samantha Alicea' if Samantha Alicea advances against Kisa Yoshioka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket. This can lead to prediction market odds diverging from sportsbook lines, particularly as new information becomes available. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before an event begins.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the cost to get exposure to that outcome, and also the payout if that outcome occurs. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Yoshioka vs Alicea match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Yoshioka vs Alicea match. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the outcome is officially confirmed and reflected in the market's settlement.
Several signals could influence this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Kisa Yoshioka or Samantha Alicea would likely cause significant movement. Updates on their training, physical condition, or strategic approaches could also shift the odds. Additionally, analysis from sports commentators, changes in betting lines at sportsbooks, and even public sentiment expressed on social media could all contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements related to the match itself, such as venue changes or rule adjustments, could also impact trading activity.