TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 3:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Emma Dong and Hiromi Abe in the W75 Toronto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emma Dong' if Emma Dong advances against Hiromi Abe. This market will resolve to 'Hiromi Abe' if Hiromi Abe advances against Emma Dong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Emma Dong and Hiromi Abe in the W75 Toronto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emma Dong' if Emma Dong advances against Hiromi Abe. This market will resolve to 'Hiromi Abe' if Hiromi Abe advances against Emma Dong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If there is a significant discrepancy between the two, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It's important to note that both represent probabilities of an outcome, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a specific player, the higher the price of those shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in the market.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Toronto W75 tennis match, determining which player, Emma Dong or Hiromi Abe, ultimately wins. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure an accurate and transparent settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates or recent match results, could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions in Toronto that might favor one player's style of play could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, significant bets placed by informed traders, or even shifts in public perception, could all contribute to movement in this market leading up to Nov 3, 2026.