TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 7:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carson Tanguilig and Jule Niemeier in the W75 Toronto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carson Tanguilig' if Carson Tanguilig advances against Jule Niemeier. This market will resolve to 'Jule Niemeier' if Jule Niemeier advances against Carson Tanguilig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carson Tanguilig and Jule Niemeier in the W75 Toronto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carson Tanguilig' if Carson Tanguilig advances against Jule Niemeier. This market will resolve to 'Jule Niemeier' if Jule Niemeier advances against Carson Tanguilig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, which can differ from sportsbook odds that are initially set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide valuable insight into how the crowd views the likely outcome of the Toronto tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a player will win, the higher the share price for that outcome will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants in the market.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Toronto tennis match between Carson Tanguilig and Jule Niemeier. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament results and sports news outlets. The outcome of this market will reflect the actual winner of the match as officially recorded.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this one, or even weather forecasts impacting the tournament schedule, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in sentiment and cause the market to move in a particular direction as the Nov 4, 2026 approaches.