TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 2:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ayana Akli and Hiromi Abe in the W75 Toronto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ayana Akli' if Ayana Akli advances against Hiromi Abe. This market will resolve to 'Hiromi Abe' if Hiromi Abe advances against Ayana Akli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ayana Akli and Hiromi Abe in the W75 Toronto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ayana Akli' if Ayana Akli advances against Hiromi Abe. This market will resolve to 'Hiromi Abe' if Hiromi Abe advances against Ayana Akli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s pricing is driven by individuals willing to put their capital at risk. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated a strong ability to forecast real-world events, sometimes outperforming traditional polling data or expert forecasts. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as they are influenced by different factors and participant motivations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence. Conversely, selling shares lowers the price, suggesting decreasing confidence. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment among traders.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ayana Akli versus Hiromi Abe match. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution, while those who bet on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment and shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the players’ strategies or performance could also cause significant price movements. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, might also play a role, though the market’s pricing is ultimately driven by traders’ willingness to buy or sell shares based on their own assessments.